Fresh WD to bring more rains in the plains of North India and snow over the hills

-


After a short break of a 2 days the rainfall is about to return back to the plains and hills of North India from this evening onwards as a strong active WD is approaching the region. This spell will bring good spread rains and hailstorms to the areas that might have missed the rains from the previous spell and more snowfall over the hills of Jammu and Kashmir, Leh, Ladakh, Himachal, Uttarakhand. 

Weather features 

WD: A strong WD of 8/10 magnitude at an height of 500hpa is expected to move over Northern India between afternoon of 3rd Feb into evening of 5th Feb 

Induced CC: A induced Cyclonic Circulation is expected to form over North Rajasthan and SW Punjab which will pull the winds towards the North between 950-850hpa 

Jet Stream: Relatively strong jet core is flowing over North India and it will aid the system 

Moisture inflow: Moisture incursions from the Arabian sea 



Weather effects 

Spell is expected to bring good spread light-moderate rains with scattered heavy rains/hailstorm in Punjab, Rajasthan, Haryana, Delhi & Ncr, Chandigarh, Foothills and parts of NW-W UttarPradesh during late afternoon of 3rd Feb into late evening of 5th Feb. The hills will once again get moderate to heavy snowfall over almost all reaches of Jammu & Kashmir, Leh, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and adjoining areas.

Isolated light rains will begun by the late afternoon of 3rd Feb over the parts of North Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana and the later would progress into other parts of these regions and Delhi and Ncr by the late night. The probability increase as the day changes into 4th Feb with activities picking up pace by early morning of 4th Feb, Many places in Punjab, Haryana, N Rajasthan and Delhi & Ncr will be receiving moderate rains with isolated heavy spells accompanied by gusty winds 15-45km/h and loud thunderstorms. 

Some places might heavy rains and intense hailstorms due to high instability. Places like Sriganganagar, Hanumangarh, Bathinda,  Malerkotla, Sangrur, Patiala, Chandigarh and adjacent areas have higher chances of heavy spell & hailstorm between 3 AM till 7 PM of 4th Feb.

Places like Eastern Punjab, East Haryana, NW UP will be getting showers till late evening of 5th Feb.

The peak of this spell will be in 4th Feb.

The hills will be getting on/off moderate to heavy snow and almost many parts of Jammu and Kashmir, Srinagar, Leh, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, Manali, Kullu, Kufri, Shimla, Uttarakhand, Kedarnath and nearby places during afternoon of 3rd into late night of 5th Feb
 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A vigorous phase of monsoon to return after a prolong break

-
Image
  After a long period of dry and hot weather, Indo Gangetic Plains are set to witness a final round of active monsoon conditions.  Many places across the plains saw an awful monsoon in August but Pan India performance was above normal. Relief from prolong hot and humid spell is slowing setting in. Considering the parameters, 2nd half of the September look really good in terms of rains. Also a delayed monsoon withdrawal is expected  Synopsis  • Low pressure to form in the Bay of Bengal and intensify into a Depression and get embedded in the through (Shearzone) • ShearZone to form over South and adjoining Central India and move Northward  • Moderate to strong Westerlies surge  • Vortex near Mumbai-North Konkan •WD over Northern Himalayas ( likely to pull the shearzone and the embedded depression straight north, likely over Haryana-Delhi-W UttarPradesh region) 🔺No WD for next 5 days 🔺 Weather forecast and events • Westerly surge due to pull effect of the Low/Depression and vortex over N
Read more

The month of spring is beginning on a stormy note for Northern India

-
Image
  The weather has been very dry lately after a nearly winter drought due to the absence of winter rains in the region. There were weaker & less frequent active Western Disturbances which brought some rains but some of them traversed in lower latitudes as compared to their normal track. These lower latitude systems brought active spells over West, Central, and parts of Eastern India while sparing Northern India. The winter produce in the region has not been good! Now, the pattern is expected to get wet and stormy due to the active impulse of NAO coupled with favorable dynamics for the first half of the month of March. A very active Western Disturbance is set to end the dry spell with a bang across many parts of Northern India and it will bring the season’s first rainfall in many places that have been devoid of any rainfall for the past 2-3 months. Weather synopsis  •Western Disturbance: A Western Disturbance (WD) as an upper-level disturbance is present over North Pakistan and adj A
Read more

Final Coldwave of this season (26-30Jan)

-
Image
After passage of last WD, temperature are likely to fall in North India from late night of 26th Jan as flow of cold NorthWesterlies would resume across northwest India. Scroll for new update Fog update:  Moderate to Dense surface Fog will start to form after 7-8pm and it will expand overnight in Delhi, Haryana, Ghaziabad, West UttarPradesh, Punjab, parts of Rajasthan, East UttarPradesh & Madhyapradesh.  •Fog layer is expected to have fog holes in and around urban cities •Fog will start to fizzle out by 10am and will be cleared by afternoon leaving behind hazy sunshine at some places •Rural area might see upper level and surface fog throughout the day leading to cold day •Some places to observe Upper level fog  •After 26th Jan, there will be a huge reduction in fog cover as flow of moderate to strong NW'LIES would resume over North India •Some places might see moderate fog but strong winds are making conditions unfavorable for Fog formation Temperature Update: These
Read more