March ends with another rainy and stormy episode in North India

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 The weather has been pretty pleasant but there are some unpleasant warm and humid periods during the afternoon. A WD recently brought a short episode of rain and thunder and cool weather in North India and adjoining parts. Now once again a fresh active WD is expected to bring another round of widespread rainfall, duststorm, hailstorm and similar activities across many areas of North India, Parts of Western and Central India and Eastern India. Lets dive deep and learn more about this upcoming wet spell

Weather Synopsis 
● Western Disturbance: the 8th WD of the March is coded as WD-M8 and is named WD-Abhra and it is rated 9/10 on the intensity scale

● Cyclonic Circulation: A CC is yet to form over western and adjoining central Rajasthan. Once the CC is activated, it will pull moisture from the Arabian Sea.

● Instability: Instability in the lower atmosphere over the parts of North, Central,Western India. This will help in development of storms by converging air masses

● Trough: Trough or Line of Wind Discontinuity extended from MadhyaPradesh to parts of South India such as Tamil Nadu

*Patterns to change during this 5 day period. As the WD moves over NorthEastern India then it will interact with moisture from Bay of Bengal and the day heat and few other factors which in return to fuel severe storms or episodes of KalBaisakhi over the region of Eastern india

Weather Effects

● Gujarat, SouthWest Rajasthan: Isolated activities to start from 29th March however they will be limited to some areas and storm cells to bring gusty winds upto 30-50km/h followed by isolated rains, hailstorm and thunderstorms. Intensity and spread of these acts to increase from 30th March and by the afternoon of 30th March, New development will take place which will be active, widespread and all the storms to move NorthEast-East on all days. Reduction in activities from 31st March, once again the activity will go back to being isolated as the CC system would have moved away in the plains. Risk of Dusty skies and strong winds will be there as the system to pull moisture from the Arabian sea

● Mumbai, Nashik, Palghar Region: Clouds to develop during afternoon but the thunderstorms develop to take place near Surat and Valsad and then these activities to descend down towards south into Mumbai region. Chances are from 30th March but good chances are on 31st March. Mostly light rain or drizzle with one or two short moderate spells

● Rajasthan(North,Central & West): Fresh cloud to develop during the afternoon, we got everything that will fuel the storms and initiate them. Proper moisture supply from Arabian Sea, CC will pull more moisture into the plains, there is sufficient heat and lastly the storms will be scattered but powerful and they will expand as they move and induce more new formations adjacent to them. High chances on 30th, 31st and chances for Isolated-Scattered rains on 1st April but mostly in North-Central and NE Aravalli side.

● Delhi, Ncr, Haryana and Punjab and Western UttarPradesh: New formations to occur during afternoon hours over NE Rajasthan or Aravali and parts of South-Central Haryana and then they will move NorthEast-East towards Delhi, Ncr and adj areas, Brining duststorm with winds upto 30-70km/h followed by moderate to intense rain, thunderstorm and isolated hailstorm over these areas. Similar activities are expected during next 3 day and there are chances of severe thunderstorms from late 30th March into 31st March. Similar patchy development to occur in South Punjab. Intense Thunderstorms, duststorm/gusty winds upto 40-80km/h followed by good spread heavy rains and hailstorms are expected on 31st March. High chances in Delh-Ncr-Ghaziabad-W UttarPradesh-Haryana and parts of Punjab and Rajasthan.

-Activities will initiate in Haryana, Rajasthan and then they will move towards East-NE towards NCR zone. 

-Activities to initiate over Delhi-Ncr-Haryana and North-East Rajasthan and once again they will move NorthEast-East

-Activities to initiate over East of Delhi, Punjab in Western UttarPradesh and they they will move with the convergence/Line Of Wind Discontinuity 

● Eastern India: The WD will move away from the Northern Sector by 1st April and it will start affecting Eastern India from 31st March. The interactions of all the system to bring some strong storms in the region on 30th, 31st March and 1st April and Isolated acts on 2nd April.

*Precise Information will be give through Nowcast on our Facebook and Twitter and Instagram Handle.


 

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