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Monsoon 2024 sends a surprise towards Northern India

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 The Northern Plains of India have seen various colours of Monsoons 2024. The season started with a fierce thunderstorm which dumped 228mm of Rains within a short time frame of just 6 hours at Safdarjung observatory in Delhi. The weather has been of various shades across the Indo Gangetic Plains this monsoon!  Various parts of the IGPs and Punjab saw a large deficit in rainfall quantum till August end and Western Rajasthan, Delhi and Core Monsoon Zone and Western Coast of India have received significant rainfall this season, taking the tally into surplus rains. Month of September sees large scale changes weakening of Monsoon drivers and Autumn begins to set in and crops stand ready for harvest but this year this cycle is interrupted and we are likely to see a delayed monsoon withdrawal and a WD + Depression/WML interactions will bring flooding rains and crop damage over a large part of Northern Plains. A Depression formed over Bay of Bengal around 5-7th is moving toward NorthW...

July ends with worsening monsoon woes for Northern India with large deficiency, Will August be of any good news?

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The four month long rainy season brings joy to every Indian each year after a long period of summer dread however this year The Northern India saw extreme summers due to absence of any proper pre-monsoon rains which coupled with a strong anti-cyclonic circulation bough extreme heat and dryness across the entire North West. The all hopes on the monsoon during the month of July dashed, faltering the excitement of that "much anticipated relief". The month started on a superb note as onset spell dumped 228mm of rains within 4 hours at Safdarjung in Delhi and good heavy spells in other areas of Haryana, Punjab and Rajasthan during the first week of July. The weather became excessively humid and hot and on the other hand isolated rains kept the humid high across the entire region and raising the real feel index upto mid 40s and even 50s on many occasions. The axis of monsoon trough stayed south of its normal position. Places like Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra s...

Severe and long term heatwave to start affecting North & Central India from Friday

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  The plains of Northern India have been witnessing a poor pre-monsoon and normal hot and dry weather from quite some time with occurrence of scattered dust storms and thunderstorms following few moderately active WDs which were affecting the region on few occasions following long dry lull phases. The weather is once again set to become dry and hot following a prolong severe but proper heatwave which is expected to affect the region from Friday. Weather synopsis  • Weak Western Disturbance (WD): There is a weak WD which will bring only isolated light rain/drizzles coupled with localized instability in parts of North Rajasthan, South Punjab, Haryana and Delhi till 21st May. There are 2 more weak WD which will affect the region after this one however they all will be suppressed due to a Anti-CC. • Anti-CC: A high pressure/ Anti Cyclonic Circulation over West-Central-West India will make the air sink as these systems suppresses rising air, there will be limited t-storms to no t-...

Some thunderstorms, rains and duststorms are due this weekend in the plains of North India

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  The weather has been dry and hot since past few week and absence of any proper spring rains in the plains of North India has landed the region in large rainfall deficit for the pre-monsoon 2024 but a moderately active WD is expected to affect the region from the afternoon of 10th May into late evening of 12th May. Lets dive further into the details of this event. Weather synopsis  • A moderately active WD: A WD of magnitude (7/10) (Western Disturbance) with a mild dip in upperlevel trough • Induce CC: A induced Cyclonic Circulation will develop over Bikaner and adjoining North & North Central Rajasthan • Pre-Monsoon trough: Weak Pre-Monsoon trough will act as a boundary where the thunderstorms will develop over and along • Dual Moisture Feed: Adequate moisture supply from the Bay of Bengal by the cool and moist Southeasterly and by the Southwesterly winds from the Arabian Sea Action and sync of these weather systems • A moderately active WD is set to interaction with th...

Heat builds up in Northern India as first Heatwave of the season arrives!

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Pre-monsoon rains have been missing in the northern plains since a very long time and weak WD's have also failed to bring any significant rains in the plains due to which the region is reporting a large rainfall deficit in the spring rainfall however the first heatwave of the season has not been observed in the region but temperature have touched the 40°C on some occasions. Now, the first heatwave of the season has started to settle in the plains of North India.  The dry and hot weather was beating hard in East India from a long time. The dynamics have turned favorable for on/off Nor'westers (Kal'baisakhi) spells as LWD, High moisture, Heat, enhanced lifting in the lower atmosphere will allow back to back t-storm almost on every evening for a 7-10 days The first heatwave of the north will last for a short duration with a surprise of cooling and rains by the weekend, lets dive deep into the which all places will heat up and which will cool down. Weather Synopsis • Flow of dr...

The month of spring is beginning on a stormy note for Northern India

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  The weather has been very dry lately after a nearly winter drought due to the absence of winter rains in the region. There were weaker & less frequent active Western Disturbances which brought some rains but some of them traversed in lower latitudes as compared to their normal track. These lower latitude systems brought active spells over West, Central, and parts of Eastern India while sparing Northern India. The winter produce in the region has not been good! Now, the pattern is expected to get wet and stormy due to the active impulse of NAO coupled with favorable dynamics for the first half of the month of March. A very active Western Disturbance is set to end the dry spell with a bang across many parts of Northern India and it will bring the season’s first rainfall in many places that have been devoid of any rainfall for the past 2-3 months. Weather synopsis  •Western Disturbance: A Western Disturbance (WD) as an upper-level disturbance is present over North Pakistan ...

Fresh spell of some rains over Northern India to welcome the slow spring transition

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  The weather has been pretty dry with a slow but warm trend with occasional high level clouds and some isolated fog across the parts of North India like Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, UttarPradesh, Rajasthan, MadhyaPradesh while the few higher reaches of Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Leh, Himachal has gotten isolated light snow on few occasions in past 10 days. The weather is about to take a turn as a slightly active Western Disturbance is on its way to affect Northern India between 17-22nd Feb. The spell has positive Arctic Oscillation, Elongated Mid level trail trough (negative tilt), Strong Moisture feed at mid level from Arabian Sea support. Weather Synopsis •Western Disturbance: A WD is present over the parts of N Punjab and Jammu Kashmir region and adj Pakistan region will be moving eastwards between 17-22nd Feb. The system has been graded 7/10 on the scale and is present between 250-500 hpa and will be spinning off a moderate intensity CC over N Rajasthan-SC Punjab region. •Cyclonic Cir...